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SHOCK POLL: South Dakota gubernatorial election extremely competitive

In a poll, conducted by Anzalone Liszt Grove Research for the campaign of South Dakota Democratic gubernatorial nominee Billie Sutton, Sutton, a state senator and rancher from Burke, is trailing Republican nominee Kristi Noem, the U.S. Representative from Castlewood, by only four points, with the poll's margin of error at 4.4%, meaning that the South Dakota gubernatorial election is within the statistical margin of error. The poll had Noem at 46% and Sutton at 42%. The poll did not appear to include Libertarian nominee Kurt Evans or the Constitution Party's nominee, which will be determined on August 14. The Libertarian and Constitution nominees would likely pull more votes from Noem than Sutton, which would increase the odds of a Sutton victory.

More importantly, an informed-ballot test showed that Sutton has a six point lead over Noem (48% Sutton-42% Noem) after the informed-ballot test. This information tells me that Billie Sutton has a path to victory in South Dakota. Could Republicans' four-decades-long grip on the South Dakota governor's office be coming to an end?

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